← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.43+5.13vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+7.16vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.92+5.14vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.84+4.05vs Predicted
-
5Boston University2.07+6.13vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College3.23+0.72vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.42-1.01vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.50+1.49vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University2.38+1.08vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University2.30+0.67vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-2.26vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College2.49-1.93vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University2.61-3.99vs Predicted
-
14Boston College3.07-6.98vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University0.28+1.39vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University2.36-5.82vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont1.35-2.97vs Predicted
-
18University of Rhode Island2.36-7.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.13Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
-
9.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
-
8.14Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
-
8.05Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
-
11.13Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
-
6.72Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
5.99Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
-
9.49Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
-
10.08Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
-
10.67Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
-
8.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
-
10.07Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
-
9.01Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
-
7.02Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
-
16.39Salve Regina University0.280.0%1st Place
-
10.18Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
-
14.03University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
-
10.01University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Emma Cowles | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Micky Munns | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 3.4% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.8% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Mathieu Dale | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 2.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Charlie Hibben | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dillon | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 6.7% | 12.3% | 63.2% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 2.0% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 25.8% | 18.1% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.