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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.49+8.88vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.84+6.44vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.43+3.11vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.50+5.46vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.42+0.97vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+2.51vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.07+0.27vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.92-0.13vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.23-2.39vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.38+0.36vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.61-1.66vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.07-0.32vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-4.29vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.36-4.10vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.28+1.40vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.36-5.76vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.35-3.03vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.30-7.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.88Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.44Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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6.11Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.46Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.97Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.27Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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7.87Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.61Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.36Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.34Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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11.68Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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9.9University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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16.4Salve Regina University0.280.0%1st Place
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10.24Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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13.97University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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10.28Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 1.5% |
| Henry Burnes | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.4% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.2% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 1.7% |
| Charlie Hibben | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Micky Munns | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 3.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Gregory Dillon | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 13.6% | 63.0% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 24.6% | 18.4% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.