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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.43+5.18vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.42+4.14vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+5.11vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.50+5.46vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.23+1.66vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.84+2.17vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.49+2.64vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+0.43vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.61+0.11vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.07+1.56vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.11+3.53vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.28+4.53vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-4.24vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.36-4.14vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.30-4.65vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.07-8.70vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.36-6.73vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.38-8.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.18Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.14Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.11Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.46Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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6.66Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.17Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.64Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.11Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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11.56Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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14.53University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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16.53Salve Regina University0.280.0%1st Place
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8.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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9.86University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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10.35Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
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7.3Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.27Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.95Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Charlie Hibben | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Micky Munns | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 3.6% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 11.9% | 27.0% | 22.6% |
| Gregory Dillon | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 15.4% | 62.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Sarah Burn | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 1.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 1.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.