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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.91+3.71vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.93+2.52vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.00+1.37vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.04+3.27vs Predicted
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5Bates College1.67+3.53vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.16+0.95vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire1.71+1.31vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.48+1.10vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.74-3.90vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.41-3.75vs Predicted
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11Amherst College0.92-0.23vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.05-1.37vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.62-4.13vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.39-1.91vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.18-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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4.52Connecticut College2.930.2%1st Place
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4.37Boston University3.000.2%1st Place
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7.27University of Vermont2.040.1%1st Place
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8.53Bates College1.670.0%1st Place
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6.95Boston College2.160.1%1st Place
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8.31University of New Hampshire1.710.1%1st Place
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9.1Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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5.1Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.25Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
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10.77Amherst College0.920.0%1st Place
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10.63Boston University1.050.0%1st Place
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8.87Bowdoin College1.620.0%1st Place
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12.09Maine Maritime Academy0.390.0%1st Place
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12.54Northeastern University0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Meleny | 14.6% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Gabriel Salk | 15.3% | 17.4% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 17.5% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Cuccio | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Cason | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Alexander Gestal | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Justin Marks | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Ames Lyman | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 11.9% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Fiske | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nick Belsito | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 13.2% |
| Jacob Waldman | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 9.9% |
| Benjmain Berg | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Benjamin King | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 21.2% | 27.3% |
| Moussa Diolombi | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 18.1% | 38.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.