← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.42+5.18vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.43+4.07vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.49+6.94vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.30+6.22vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.23+1.69vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.84+2.21vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.61+2.04vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+0.40vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont1.11+5.50vs Predicted
-
10Yale University2.92-1.87vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University2.36-0.68vs Predicted
-
12Boston University2.07-0.38vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island2.36-3.00vs Predicted
-
14Boston College3.07-6.96vs Predicted
-
15Roger Williams University2.38-4.96vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University2.50-6.43vs Predicted
-
17Salve Regina University0.28-0.61vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-9.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.18Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
-
6.07Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
-
9.94Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
-
10.22Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
-
6.69Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
8.21Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
-
9.04Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
-
8.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
-
14.5University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
-
8.13Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
-
10.32Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
-
11.62Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
-
10.0University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
-
7.04Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
-
10.04Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
-
9.57Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
-
16.39Salve Regina University0.280.0%1st Place
-
8.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Burn | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Charlie Hibben | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 11.7% | 29.3% | 20.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 8.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Micky Munns | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 4.4% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 1.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Mathieu Dale | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Gregory Dillon | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 14.4% | 61.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.