← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.84+7.41vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.43+4.06vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+5.74vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.92+3.75vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.61+4.09vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.30+4.40vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.42-1.00vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College3.23-1.37vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University0.28+7.37vs Predicted
-
10Boston University2.07+1.55vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont1.11+3.54vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island2.36-1.49vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University2.50-3.58vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College2.49-4.69vs Predicted
-
15Boston College3.07-7.80vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University2.38-5.88vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University2.36-6.78vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-9.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.41Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
-
6.06Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
-
8.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
-
7.75Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
-
9.09Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
-
10.4Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
-
6.0Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
-
6.63Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
16.37Salve Regina University0.280.0%1st Place
-
11.55Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
-
14.54University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
-
10.51University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
-
9.42Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
-
9.31Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
-
7.2Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
-
10.12Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
-
10.22Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
-
8.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Burnes | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.5% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Emma Cowles | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Charlie Hibben | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 1.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Gregory Dillon | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 14.2% | 60.2% |
| Micky Munns | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 3.8% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 27.6% | 22.7% |
| Parker Colantuono | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 2.3% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 0.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.