← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.43+5.11vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.84+6.36vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+5.70vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.42+1.93vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.50+4.48vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.30+4.47vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.49+2.59vs Predicted
-
8Yale University2.92-0.17vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College3.23-2.46vs Predicted
-
10Boston College3.07-2.46vs Predicted
-
11Boston University2.07+0.41vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island2.36-1.46vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University2.38-3.09vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University2.61-5.16vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont1.11-0.53vs Predicted
-
16Salve Regina University0.28+0.33vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University2.36-6.71vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-9.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.11Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
-
8.36Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
-
8.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
-
5.93Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
-
9.48Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
-
10.47Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
-
9.59Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
-
7.83Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
-
6.54Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
7.54Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
-
11.41Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
-
10.54University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
-
9.91Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
-
8.84Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
-
14.47University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
-
16.33Salve Regina University0.280.0%1st Place
-
10.29Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
-
8.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Micky Munns | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 4.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 2.4% |
| Mathieu Dale | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Charlie Hibben | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 26.7% | 21.7% |
| Gregory Dillon | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 15.0% | 59.9% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 1.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.