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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.43+5.09vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+8.39vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+5.11vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.84+4.02vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+3.75vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.38+4.06vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.30+3.38vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.23-1.38vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.50+0.52vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-1.29vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.42-4.94vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.07-4.42vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.61-4.01vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.07-2.98vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.49-5.39vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.36-5.80vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.11-2.34vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University0.28-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.39University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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8.11Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.02Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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10.06Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.38Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
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6.62Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.52Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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6.06Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.58Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.99Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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11.02Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.61Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.2Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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14.66University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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16.24Salve Regina University0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.5% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| Emma Cowles | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Mathieu Dale | 4.5% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Sarah Burn | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 1.9% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.4% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Hibben | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Micky Munns | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 4.5% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 29.8% | 23.1% |
| Gregory Dillon | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 17.1% | 58.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.