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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+7.72vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.50+7.84vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.42+3.14vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.84+4.06vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.43+0.91vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.38+4.04vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+3.16vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.07-0.79vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.92-1.22vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.23-3.08vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.30-0.42vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.28+4.49vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-4.30vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.07-2.96vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.61-5.89vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.36-5.76vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.11-2.36vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.49-8.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.84Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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6.14Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.06Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.91Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.04Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.16University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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7.21Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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7.78Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.92Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.58Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
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16.49Salve Regina University0.280.0%1st Place
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8.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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11.04Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.11Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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10.24Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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14.64University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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9.43Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.2% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 1.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 2.2% |
| Gregory Dillon | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 14.1% | 62.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Micky Munns | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 3.2% |
| Charlie Hibben | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 2.4% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 32.2% | 20.4% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.