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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.93+3.21vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.41+3.36vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.91+1.22vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.74+0.70vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.28+1.07vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.84+1.36vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.62+0.58vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.16-1.78vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.48-0.68vs Predicted
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10Amherst College0.92-0.02vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.04-4.30vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.18-0.40vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.39-1.98vs Predicted
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14Bates College0.09-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21Connecticut College2.930.2%1st Place
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5.36Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
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4.22Tufts University2.910.2%1st Place
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4.7Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.07Boston University2.280.1%1st Place
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7.36Boston University1.840.1%1st Place
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7.58Bowdoin College1.620.1%1st Place
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6.22Boston College2.160.1%1st Place
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8.32Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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9.98Amherst College0.920.0%1st Place
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6.7University of Vermont2.040.1%1st Place
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11.6Northeastern University0.180.0%1st Place
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11.02Maine Maritime Academy0.390.0%1st Place
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11.66Bates College0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Salk | 15.7% | 18.4% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fiske | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Meleny | 18.1% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 13.4% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Perry | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Ballow | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Benjmain Berg | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Alexander Gestal | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Ames Lyman | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Nick Belsito | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 10.9% |
| Laura Cuccio | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Moussa Diolombi | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 22.1% | 30.0% |
| Benjamin King | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 20.9% | 21.1% |
| Alexander Francis | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 22.4% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.