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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.93+3.21vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.28+3.76vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.84+4.20vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.41+1.58vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.91-0.65vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.74-1.24vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.48+1.07vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.62-0.16vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.04-2.31vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.16-3.63vs Predicted
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11Amherst College0.92-1.09vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.39-0.85vs Predicted
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13Bates College0.09-1.34vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.18-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21Connecticut College2.930.2%1st Place
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5.76Boston University2.280.1%1st Place
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7.2Boston University1.840.1%1st Place
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5.58Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
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4.35Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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4.76Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.07Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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7.84Bowdoin College1.620.1%1st Place
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6.69University of Vermont2.040.1%1st Place
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6.37Boston College2.160.1%1st Place
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9.91Amherst College0.920.0%1st Place
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11.15Maine Maritime Academy0.390.0%1st Place
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11.66Bates College0.090.0%1st Place
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11.47Northeastern University0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Salk | 17.3% | 15.9% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Perry | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Ballow | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Fiske | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Meleny | 14.6% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 13.8% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ames Lyman | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Benjmain Berg | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Laura Cuccio | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Gestal | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Nick Belsito | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 14.1% | 9.3% |
| Benjamin King | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 16.6% | 21.1% | 22.7% |
| Alexander Francis | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 14.1% | 21.7% | 33.2% |
| Moussa Diolombi | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 24.3% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.