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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.85+4.79vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.38+4.95vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.65-0.87vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.41+0.46vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.53+6.92vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame1.04-0.62vs Predicted
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7Purdue University0.56-0.61vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-0.16+0.63vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan0.10-1.05vs Predicted
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10Marquette University0.20-2.23vs Predicted
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11Hope College-1.16+0.25vs Predicted
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12Michigan Technological University-0.05-3.65vs Predicted
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13University of Saint Thomas0.60-6.53vs Predicted
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14Grand Valley State University-1.39-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79University of Wisconsin0.850.1%1st Place
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6.95University of Washington0.380.0%1st Place
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2.13University of Wisconsin2.650.5%1st Place
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4.46University of Michigan1.410.1%1st Place
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11.92Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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5.38University of Notre Dame1.040.1%1st Place
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6.39Purdue University0.560.1%1st Place
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8.63University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
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7.95University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
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7.77Marquette University0.200.0%1st Place
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11.25Hope College-1.160.0%1st Place
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8.35Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
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6.47University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
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11.57Grand Valley State University-1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Reinemann | 6.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Christian Spencer | 46.1% | 22.6% | 15.7% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sherman Thompson | 11.7% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eva Rossell | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 23.1% | 36.5% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 8.8% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Odey Hariri | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Clara Brown | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 3.7% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Emma Turner | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 23.4% | 22.8% |
| Donny Marwin | 1.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| Rachel Bartel | 5.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Luke Kleinrichert | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 14.3% | 23.2% | 29.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.