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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.65+1.17vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.38+4.90vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame1.04+2.24vs Predicted
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4University of Saint Thomas0.60+2.56vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.85+0.92vs Predicted
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6Purdue University0.56+0.71vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.41-2.80vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-0.05+0.28vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan0.10-1.03vs Predicted
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10Hope College-1.16+1.25vs Predicted
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11Marquette University0.20-3.26vs Predicted
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12Michigan State University-1.53-0.07vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota-0.16-4.45vs Predicted
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14Grand Valley State University-1.39-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17University of Wisconsin2.650.4%1st Place
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6.9University of Washington0.380.0%1st Place
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5.24University of Notre Dame1.040.1%1st Place
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6.56University of Saint Thomas0.600.0%1st Place
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5.92University of Wisconsin0.850.1%1st Place
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6.71Purdue University0.560.1%1st Place
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4.2University of Michigan1.410.1%1st Place
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8.28Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
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7.97University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
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11.25Hope College-1.160.0%1st Place
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7.74Marquette University0.200.0%1st Place
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11.93Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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8.55University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
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11.58Grand Valley State University-1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Spencer | 43.7% | 25.0% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 4.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 8.8% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Bartel | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Ella Reinemann | 5.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Odey Hariri | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Sherman Thompson | 13.5% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Donny Marwin | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 1.2% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 21.5% | 24.1% |
| Emma Turner | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Eva Rossell | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 14.4% | 21.7% | 36.6% |
| Clara Brown | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
| Luke Kleinrichert | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 24.7% | 29.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.