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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.05+2.79vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.56+1.12vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.31+0.30vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.24-0.95vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.17-2.68vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University-0.74-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79Bowdoin College0.0511.3%1st Place
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3.12Boston College1.5618.6%1st Place
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3.3Roger Williams University1.3115.6%1st Place
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3.05Brown University1.2418.1%1st Place
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2.32Harvard University2.1734.1%1st Place
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5.42Northeastern University-0.742.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stevens | 11.3% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 19.0% | 30.2% | 11.5% |
| Nick Budington | 18.6% | 20.0% | 19.0% | 19.9% | 17.9% | 4.6% |
| Tavia Smith | 15.6% | 16.5% | 20.9% | 21.7% | 19.9% | 5.4% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 18.1% | 21.4% | 21.4% | 19.5% | 15.4% | 4.2% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 34.1% | 26.7% | 19.5% | 13.8% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Jack Whitman | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 11.6% | 73.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.