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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.28+4.89vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.91+2.15vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.41+2.59vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.16+2.29vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.48+3.35vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.74-1.24vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.93-2.95vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.62-0.17vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.84-1.73vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.04-3.27vs Predicted
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11Amherst College0.92-1.10vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.39-0.88vs Predicted
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13Bates College0.09-1.38vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.18-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89Boston University2.280.1%1st Place
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4.15Tufts University2.910.2%1st Place
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5.59Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
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6.29Boston College2.160.1%1st Place
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8.35Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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4.76Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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4.05Connecticut College2.930.2%1st Place
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7.83Bowdoin College1.620.1%1st Place
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7.27Boston University1.840.1%1st Place
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6.73University of Vermont2.040.1%1st Place
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9.9Amherst College0.920.0%1st Place
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11.12Maine Maritime Academy0.390.0%1st Place
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11.62Bates College0.090.0%1st Place
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11.45Northeastern University0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Perry | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Meleny | 16.6% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fiske | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Gestal | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Ames Lyman | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 3.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 13.2% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Salk | 17.3% | 18.3% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjmain Berg | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Joseph Ballow | 6.5% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Laura Cuccio | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Nick Belsito | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 18.3% | 13.1% | 9.6% |
| Benjamin King | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 17.2% | 20.5% | 22.2% |
| Alexander Francis | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 21.6% | 33.1% |
| Moussa Diolombi | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 24.9% | 27.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.