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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.85+4.78vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.41+2.28vs Predicted
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3Hope College-1.16+8.05vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.10+3.96vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.65-2.81vs Predicted
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6University of Saint Thomas0.60+0.62vs Predicted
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7Purdue University0.56-0.58vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame1.04-2.67vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-1.39+2.69vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.38-2.77vs Predicted
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11Michigan Technological University-0.05-2.59vs Predicted
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12Michigan State University-1.53-0.05vs Predicted
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13Marquette University0.20-5.41vs Predicted
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14University of Minnesota-0.16-5.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.78University of Wisconsin0.850.1%1st Place
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4.28University of Michigan1.410.1%1st Place
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11.05Hope College-1.160.0%1st Place
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7.96University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
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2.19University of Wisconsin2.650.4%1st Place
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6.62University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
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6.42Purdue University0.560.1%1st Place
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5.33University of Notre Dame1.040.1%1st Place
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11.69Grand Valley State University-1.390.0%1st Place
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7.23University of Washington0.380.0%1st Place
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8.41Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
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11.95Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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7.59Marquette University0.200.0%1st Place
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8.51University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Reinemann | 6.3% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sherman Thompson | 12.6% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 13.6% | 23.9% | 23.1% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Christian Spencer | 41.0% | 29.2% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bartel | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Odey Hariri | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Luke Kleinrichert | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 15.2% | 24.9% | 29.9% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Donny Marwin | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Eva Rossell | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 15.4% | 21.9% | 36.5% |
| Emma Turner | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Clara Brown | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.