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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.65+1.18vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.85+3.61vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.41+1.31vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame1.04+1.32vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.38+2.23vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-1.39+5.73vs Predicted
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7Purdue University0.56-0.65vs Predicted
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8University of Saint Thomas0.60-1.50vs Predicted
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9Marquette University0.20-1.30vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota-0.16-1.25vs Predicted
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11Michigan Technological University-0.05-2.63vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan0.10-4.03vs Predicted
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13Hope College-1.16-1.89vs Predicted
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14Michigan State University-1.53-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18University of Wisconsin2.650.5%1st Place
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5.61University of Wisconsin0.850.1%1st Place
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4.31University of Michigan1.410.1%1st Place
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5.32University of Notre Dame1.040.1%1st Place
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7.23University of Washington0.380.0%1st Place
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11.73Grand Valley State University-1.390.0%1st Place
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6.35Purdue University0.560.1%1st Place
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6.5University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
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7.7Marquette University0.200.0%1st Place
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8.75University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
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8.37Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
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7.97University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
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11.11Hope College-1.160.0%1st Place
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11.85Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Spencer | 45.1% | 22.9% | 14.9% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Reinemann | 6.8% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sherman Thompson | 12.1% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 7.2% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 3.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Luke Kleinrichert | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 14.7% | 23.2% | 32.4% |
| Odey Hariri | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Bartel | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Emma Turner | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Clara Brown | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 7.5% | 3.2% |
| Donny Marwin | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 1.8% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 16.5% | 22.7% | 21.0% |
| Eva Rossell | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 13.6% | 20.9% | 36.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.