← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan1.41+3.17vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin2.65+0.04vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin0.85+2.53vs Predicted
-
4University of Michigan0.10+3.57vs Predicted
-
5Purdue University0.56+1.37vs Predicted
-
6University of Saint Thomas0.60+0.27vs Predicted
-
7Michigan State University-1.53+4.14vs Predicted
-
8University of Notre Dame1.04-2.91vs Predicted
-
9Hope College-1.16+1.62vs Predicted
-
10University of Washington0.38-3.19vs Predicted
-
11Michigan Technological University-0.05-3.02vs Predicted
-
12Marquette University0.20-4.69vs Predicted
-
13Grand Valley State University-1.39-2.01vs Predicted
-
14University of Minnesota-2.76-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.17University of Michigan1.410.1%1st Place
-
2.04University of Wisconsin2.650.5%1st Place
-
5.53University of Wisconsin0.850.1%1st Place
-
7.57University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
-
6.37Purdue University0.560.0%1st Place
-
6.27University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
-
11.14Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
-
5.09University of Notre Dame1.040.1%1st Place
-
10.62Hope College-1.160.0%1st Place
-
6.81University of Washington0.380.0%1st Place
-
7.98Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
-
7.31Marquette University0.200.0%1st Place
-
10.99Grand Valley State University-1.390.0%1st Place
-
13.09University of Minnesota-2.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sherman Thompson | 13.3% | 16.7% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 46.7% | 25.4% | 14.6% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Reinemann | 6.4% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 2.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Odey Hariri | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bartel | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Eva Rossell | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 12.7% | 18.5% | 26.8% | 14.2% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 8.9% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 22.4% | 19.8% | 7.6% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Donny Marwin | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Emma Turner | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Luke Kleinrichert | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 13.8% | 21.0% | 25.9% | 10.8% |
| Valerie Schuster | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 16.2% | 65.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.