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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.24+1.02vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.30+1.34vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame0.64+0.53vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.52-0.30vs Predicted
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6University of Saint Thomas0.47-1.18vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-1.36+1.49vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.62-3.56vs Predicted
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9Hope College-0.87-1.59vs Predicted
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10Purdue University-2.43+0.56vs Predicted
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11Marquette University-1.64-1.95vs Predicted
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12Michigan Technological University-2.68-1.09vs Predicted
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13Michigan State University-2.25-2.71vs Predicted
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14University of Minnesota-2.28-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02University of Wisconsin2.240.5%1st Place
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3.34University of Wisconsin1.300.2%1st Place
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4.53University of Notre Dame0.640.1%1st Place
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4.7University of Michigan0.520.1%1st Place
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4.82University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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8.49Grand Valley State University-1.360.0%1st Place
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4.44University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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7.41Hope College-0.870.0%1st Place
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10.56Purdue University-2.430.0%1st Place
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9.05Marquette University-1.640.0%1st Place
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10.91Michigan Technological University-2.680.0%1st Place
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10.29Michigan State University-2.250.0%1st Place
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10.44University of Minnesota-2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Bartel | 45.1% | 27.2% | 15.3% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 16.9% | 20.6% | 20.8% | 16.3% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 7.4% | 10.9% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 10.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabel Dziuba | 7.8% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 16.5% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greg Bittle | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 7.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Corder | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 18.9% | 15.1% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 2.2% |
| Erin Pamplin | 9.1% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Falkner | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 15.9% | 17.1% | 17.7% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Courtney Hamilton | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 19.8% | 24.0% |
| Patrick McKeever | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 19.4% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 6.4% |
| Mathieu St. Amour | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 16.5% | 21.9% | 27.9% |
| Corinne Nedeau | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 18.6% | 18.8% |
| John Cayen | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 18.3% | 19.4% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.