Race 2B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Samuel Bartel 43.4% 29.2% 14.3% 6.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Greg Bittle 7.3% 10.0% 12.8% 13.7% 18.4% 15.0% 11.5% 6.5% 3.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Hailey Feinzig 16.7% 21.0% 18.9% 17.8% 12.3% 8.3% 3.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sarah Corder 1.0% 1.3% 1.8% 2.3% 5.5% 7.4% 11.1% 14.6% 17.4% 14.1% 13.8% 6.8% 2.9%
Isabel Dziuba 7.9% 11.2% 13.4% 14.4% 14.8% 15.9% 11.3% 6.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Erin Pamplin 9.3% 11.6% 15.2% 16.8% 15.4% 15.2% 8.6% 4.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick McKeever 1.2% 1.3% 2.2% 2.7% 3.3% 4.3% 8.7% 12.5% 15.0% 19.8% 13.9% 11.1% 4.0%
Jennifer Falkner 1.8% 2.6% 4.7% 4.1% 6.3% 10.4% 15.5% 19.3% 16.1% 11.2% 5.2% 2.0% 0.8%
Joseph Gallagher 9.6% 10.2% 14.2% 17.6% 13.8% 14.8% 10.3% 5.9% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Mathieu St. Amour 0.2% 0.6% 0.5% 1.1% 1.4% 1.0% 3.7% 6.0% 6.1% 11.5% 15.0% 20.1% 32.8%
Courtney Hamilton 0.5% 0.3% 0.6% 0.4% 1.4% 2.2% 4.5% 7.9% 11.7% 12.4% 18.1% 20.0% 20.0%
John Cayen 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 1.3% 2.2% 1.3% 5.9% 7.0% 9.2% 14.3% 16.1% 21.4% 19.7%
Corinne Nedeau 0.7% 0.2% 0.7% 0.9% 1.3% 2.5% 5.3% 7.0% 12.4% 13.7% 17.0% 18.5% 19.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.