Race 3B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Hailey Feinzig 17.3% 21.0% 20.7% 15.3% 12.8% 6.8% 4.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Bartel 45.5% 28.0% 13.7% 7.6% 2.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Isabel Dziuba 5.5% 11.0% 14.5% 14.9% 16.7% 15.6% 11.2% 7.2% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Joseph Gallagher 9.0% 11.1% 12.7% 16.7% 16.7% 15.0% 10.1% 6.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Greg Bittle 7.9% 9.9% 14.0% 12.3% 14.4% 16.4% 13.7% 7.3% 3.1% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Erin Pamplin 9.1% 11.6% 13.4% 16.3% 16.4% 15.2% 10.2% 4.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
John Cayen 0.4% 0.6% 1.7% 1.0% 2.2% 2.2% 3.8% 8.4% 11.0% 14.8% 16.5% 21.7% 15.7%
Jennifer Falkner 2.5% 2.7% 3.7% 5.1% 5.9% 9.0% 17.0% 17.2% 16.5% 11.2% 6.1% 2.6% 0.5%
Courtney Hamilton 0.3% 0.9% 0.5% 1.6% 1.8% 3.2% 3.1% 5.3% 9.1% 12.2% 18.6% 18.9% 24.5%
Patrick McKeever 0.9% 0.9% 2.1% 3.2% 3.2% 4.3% 7.3% 13.3% 16.1% 18.2% 15.4% 8.8% 6.3%
Sarah Corder 0.9% 1.4% 1.9% 3.8% 4.8% 5.8% 12.5% 17.1% 17.4% 16.4% 9.5% 5.9% 2.6%
Mathieu St. Amour 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 1.2% 1.7% 2.5% 5.3% 7.4% 9.8% 15.5% 20.1% 34.6%
Corinne Nedeau 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 1.4% 1.0% 2.9% 3.9% 7.1% 12.1% 15.0% 17.4% 21.8% 15.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.