Race 4B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Samuel Bartel 44.7% 27.6% 14.9% 7.5% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hailey Feinzig 16.5% 22.1% 20.7% 14.8% 12.6% 7.5% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Greg Bittle 6.2% 8.8% 14.2% 13.8% 16.3% 17.1% 12.3% 7.0% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Isabel Dziuba 8.0% 10.6% 12.2% 16.0% 15.4% 15.9% 12.2% 6.0% 2.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Joseph Gallagher 10.1% 10.6% 14.3% 16.4% 14.6% 15.2% 11.1% 5.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jennifer Falkner 1.8% 2.4% 4.2% 4.6% 6.8% 9.0% 15.1% 18.5% 17.6% 11.0% 5.7% 2.8% 0.5%
Erin Pamplin 9.0% 13.4% 13.3% 14.4% 17.1% 14.0% 10.1% 6.1% 1.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sarah Corder 1.4% 2.1% 2.0% 3.3% 4.6% 5.3% 11.4% 16.2% 17.9% 14.5% 11.4% 7.4% 2.5%
Courtney Hamilton 0.4% 0.2% 0.8% 1.8% 2.0% 2.4% 3.2% 5.5% 9.2% 12.0% 17.9% 21.9% 22.7%
John Cayen 0.5% 0.4% 1.0% 1.9% 1.6% 2.9% 4.5% 7.4% 11.2% 13.9% 17.8% 18.8% 18.1%
Patrick McKeever 0.7% 0.8% 1.4% 3.1% 3.3% 5.3% 8.9% 14.6% 16.6% 18.6% 13.5% 9.1% 4.1%
Mathieu St. Amour 0.2% 0.5% 0.3% 1.1% 0.5% 2.0% 2.4% 6.2% 7.0% 10.5% 15.0% 19.6% 34.7%
Corinne Nedeau 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 1.3% 1.5% 2.1% 4.7% 5.9% 11.3% 16.1% 17.9% 20.1% 17.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.