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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.52+3.61vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.30+1.21vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.24-1.03vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame0.64+0.36vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.01-0.45vs Predicted
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7University of Saint Thomas0.47-2.37vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-1.36+0.33vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-1.64-0.08vs Predicted
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10Hope College-0.87-2.64vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-2.43-0.49vs Predicted
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12Michigan State University-2.25-1.91vs Predicted
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13Michigan Technological University-2.68-1.95vs Predicted
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14University of Minnesota-2.28-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.61University of Michigan0.520.1%1st Place
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3.21University of Wisconsin1.300.2%1st Place
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1.97University of Wisconsin2.240.5%1st Place
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4.36University of Notre Dame0.640.1%1st Place
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5.55University of Washington0.010.1%1st Place
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4.63University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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8.33Grand Valley State University-1.360.0%1st Place
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8.92Marquette University-1.640.0%1st Place
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7.36Hope College-0.870.0%1st Place
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10.51Purdue University-2.430.0%1st Place
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10.09Michigan State University-2.250.0%1st Place
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11.05Michigan Technological University-2.680.0%1st Place
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10.4University of Minnesota-2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabel Dziuba | 7.9% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 16.9% | 24.0% | 20.4% | 16.3% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Bartel | 47.0% | 25.0% | 16.5% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 8.0% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Greg Bittle | 7.4% | 10.6% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Corder | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 15.9% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 2.0% |
| Patrick McKeever | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 18.0% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 4.9% |
| Jennifer Falkner | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 16.8% | 11.6% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Courtney Hamilton | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 18.1% | 20.0% | 22.8% |
| Corinne Nedeau | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 19.5% | 19.1% | 13.5% |
| Mathieu St. Amour | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 20.0% | 35.7% |
| John Cayen | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 20.3% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.