← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin2.24+0.99vs Predicted
-
2University of Michigan0.52+2.57vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin1.30+0.24vs Predicted
-
4University of Notre Dame0.64+0.36vs Predicted
-
5University of Saint Thomas0.47-0.37vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington0.01-0.49vs Predicted
-
8Michigan State University-2.25+2.08vs Predicted
-
9Marquette University-1.64-0.07vs Predicted
-
10Hope College-0.87-2.60vs Predicted
-
11Grand Valley State University-1.36-2.63vs Predicted
-
12University of Minnesota-2.28-1.79vs Predicted
-
13Purdue University-2.43-2.36vs Predicted
-
14Michigan Technological University-2.68-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.99University of Wisconsin2.240.5%1st Place
-
4.57University of Michigan0.520.1%1st Place
-
3.24University of Wisconsin1.300.2%1st Place
-
4.36University of Notre Dame0.640.1%1st Place
-
4.63University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
-
5.51University of Washington0.010.0%1st Place
-
10.08Michigan State University-2.250.0%1st Place
-
8.93Marquette University-1.640.0%1st Place
-
7.4Hope College-0.870.0%1st Place
-
8.37Grand Valley State University-1.360.0%1st Place
-
10.21University of Minnesota-2.280.0%1st Place
-
10.64Purdue University-2.430.0%1st Place
-
11.08Michigan Technological University-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Bartel | 45.0% | 29.1% | 14.5% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabel Dziuba | 8.3% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 16.8% | 17.2% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 17.8% | 22.0% | 20.9% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 10.0% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 19.5% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Greg Bittle | 8.4% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 4.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Corinne Nedeau | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 17.1% | 20.4% | 15.0% |
| Patrick McKeever | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 10.2% | 4.4% |
| Jennifer Falkner | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 16.0% | 17.7% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Corder | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 3.0% |
| John Cayen | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 18.8% | 18.8% | 16.1% |
| Courtney Hamilton | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 22.4% | 24.6% |
| Mathieu St. Amour | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 18.3% | 35.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.