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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.24+1.02vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas0.47+2.96vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.52+1.82vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.30-0.63vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.01+0.83vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-1.36+1.85vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame0.64-3.50vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-2.25+1.53vs Predicted
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10Hope College-0.87-2.14vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota-0.34-4.37vs Predicted
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12Marquette University-1.64-2.71vs Predicted
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13Michigan Technological University-2.68-1.66vs Predicted
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14Purdue University-2.43-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02University of Wisconsin2.240.4%1st Place
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4.96University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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4.82University of Michigan0.520.1%1st Place
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3.37University of Wisconsin1.300.2%1st Place
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5.83University of Washington0.010.1%1st Place
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8.85Grand Valley State University-1.360.0%1st Place
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4.5University of Notre Dame0.640.1%1st Place
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10.53Michigan State University-2.250.0%1st Place
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7.86Hope College-0.870.0%1st Place
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6.63University of Minnesota-0.340.0%1st Place
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9.29Marquette University-1.640.0%1st Place
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11.34Michigan Technological University-2.680.0%1st Place
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11.01Purdue University-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Bartel | 44.5% | 28.9% | 15.1% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greg Bittle | 7.7% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabel Dziuba | 7.0% | 9.0% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 17.1% | 21.4% | 19.0% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Corder | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 16.3% | 19.2% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 3.2% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 9.9% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Corinne Nedeau | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 20.0% | 24.1% | 19.8% |
| Jennifer Falkner | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 10.4% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Patrick McKeever | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 15.2% | 18.5% | 17.8% | 11.9% | 6.2% |
| Mathieu St. Amour | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 20.5% | 41.2% |
| Courtney Hamilton | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 27.0% | 28.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.