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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.93+3.21vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.28+3.75vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.16+3.28vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.48+4.30vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.91-0.62vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.62+1.98vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.74-2.51vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.04-1.45vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.41-3.38vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.84-2.68vs Predicted
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11Bates College0.09+0.85vs Predicted
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12Amherst College0.92-2.17vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.39-1.99vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.18-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21Connecticut College2.930.2%1st Place
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5.75Boston University2.280.1%1st Place
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6.28Boston College2.160.1%1st Place
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8.3Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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4.38Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.98Bowdoin College1.620.0%1st Place
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4.49Boston University2.740.2%1st Place
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6.55University of Vermont2.040.1%1st Place
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5.62Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
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7.32Boston University1.840.1%1st Place
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11.85Bates College0.090.0%1st Place
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9.83Amherst College0.920.0%1st Place
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11.01Maine Maritime Academy0.390.0%1st Place
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11.44Northeastern University0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Salk | 17.5% | 16.5% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Paul Perry | 9.1% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Gestal | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Ames Lyman | 3.2% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Andrew Meleny | 14.4% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjmain Berg | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 15.5% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Laura Cuccio | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Fiske | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Ballow | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Francis | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 13.5% | 21.5% | 35.8% |
| Nick Belsito | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 8.6% |
| Benjamin King | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 22.2% | 19.7% |
| Moussa Diolombi | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 22.5% | 28.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.