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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+4.24vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09+3.89vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.79+3.97vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.28+4.80vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75-0.81vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.65+1.61vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.89+3.08vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.34+3.81vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.83-2.15vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-2.65vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.24-1.99vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.47-3.53vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.02-3.02vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.25-5.04vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.30-6.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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5.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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6.97Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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8.8Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
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4.19Harvard University2.750.2%1st Place
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7.61Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
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10.08Tufts University0.890.0%1st Place
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11.81Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
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6.85University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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7.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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9.01Tufts University1.240.0%1st Place
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8.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.470.1%1st Place
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9.98Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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8.96Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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8.78Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maks Groom | 12.9% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Elliott | 10.3% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Everett Nash | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.5% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 19.7% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 12.5% |
| Renato Korzinek | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 34.9% |
| Jonathan Riley | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Julia Wyatt | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Ege Ozgul | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.0% |
| Jemma Schroder | 5.3% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% |
| Niall Sheridan | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 12.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.