← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.75+3.04vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University1.79+4.88vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+2.27vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.47+4.17vs Predicted
-
5Boston University1.25+3.99vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09+0.01vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.02+2.70vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.30+0.85vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University0.89+1.12vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University1.28-1.07vs Predicted
-
11Boston University0.34+0.80vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University1.24-2.71vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island1.83-5.85vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College1.65-6.47vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-7.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.04Harvard University2.750.2%1st Place
-
6.88Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
-
5.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
-
8.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.470.0%1st Place
-
8.99Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
-
6.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
-
9.7Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
-
8.85Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
-
10.12Tufts University0.890.0%1st Place
-
8.93Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
-
11.8Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
-
9.29Tufts University1.240.0%1st Place
-
7.15University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
-
7.53Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
-
7.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Ascencios | 19.9% | 19.6% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Everett Nash | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Maks Groom | 13.0% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jemma Schroder | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 3.7% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% |
| Matthew Elliott | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Niall Sheridan | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 11.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 13.2% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% |
| Renato Korzinek | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 34.5% |
| Ege Ozgul | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 7.3% |
| Jonathan Riley | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Julia Wyatt | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.