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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.75+3.04vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+3.19vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.47+5.11vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.79+3.02vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.28+3.86vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.83+0.93vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-0.96vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.25+0.99vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.34+2.81vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.02-0.16vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-3.73vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.89-1.55vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.30-3.99vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.24-5.07vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.65-7.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04Harvard University2.750.2%1st Place
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5.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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8.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.470.1%1st Place
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7.02Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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8.86Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
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6.93University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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6.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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8.99Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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11.81Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
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9.84Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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7.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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10.45Tufts University0.890.0%1st Place
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9.01Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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8.93Tufts University1.240.0%1st Place
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7.52Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Ascencios | 19.7% | 19.7% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Maks Groom | 13.3% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jemma Schroder | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.6% |
| Everett Nash | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% |
| Jonathan Riley | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Elliott | 10.6% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.3% |
| Renato Korzinek | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 16.8% | 31.6% |
| Niall Sheridan | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 11.0% |
| Julia Wyatt | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 15.3% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% |
| Ege Ozgul | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.