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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.79+5.95vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+3.18vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+1.04vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.47+4.17vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.83+2.03vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.25+3.04vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+0.28vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-1.90vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.28-0.22vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.24-0.92vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.02-1.26vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.30-2.94vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.34-1.04vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.89-3.88vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.65-7.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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4.04Harvard University2.750.2%1st Place
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8.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.470.1%1st Place
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7.03University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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9.04Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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7.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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6.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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8.78Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
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9.08Tufts University1.240.0%1st Place
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9.74Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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9.06Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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11.96Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
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10.12Tufts University0.890.0%1st Place
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7.49Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Nash | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% |
| Maks Groom | 12.3% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 19.6% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jemma Schroder | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% |
| Jonathan Riley | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 5.3% |
| Julia Wyatt | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Elliott | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 5.4% |
| Ege Ozgul | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 12.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% |
| Renato Korzinek | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 37.5% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 13.1% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.