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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.79+5.92vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+3.22vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.24+5.89vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+0.10vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.02+4.78vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.30+2.83vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.65+0.52vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.28+0.90vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.25-0.05vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.47-1.73vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-4.89vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-4.48vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.34-1.04vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.89-3.87vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.83-8.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.92Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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8.89Tufts University1.240.0%1st Place
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4.1Harvard University2.750.2%1st Place
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9.78Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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8.83Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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7.52Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
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8.9Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
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8.95Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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8.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.470.1%1st Place
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6.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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7.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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11.96Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
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10.13Tufts University0.890.0%1st Place
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6.9University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Nash | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% |
| Maks Groom | 11.4% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ege Ozgul | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 5.9% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 19.0% | 17.9% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Niall Sheridan | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 10.7% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 4.8% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.5% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 5.9% |
| Jemma Schroder | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% |
| Matthew Elliott | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Julia Wyatt | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Renato Korzinek | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 37.6% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 13.9% |
| Jonathan Riley | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.