← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+4.30vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.75+2.00vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.47+5.12vs Predicted
-
4Boston University1.25+4.95vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.79+2.15vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09+0.06vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.24+1.86vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.28+0.89vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University0.89+1.15vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island1.83-3.01vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-3.74vs Predicted
-
12Boston University0.34+0.06vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University1.02-3.04vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College1.65-6.48vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University1.30-6.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
-
4.0Harvard University2.750.2%1st Place
-
8.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.470.1%1st Place
-
8.95Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
-
7.15Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
-
6.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
-
8.86Tufts University1.240.1%1st Place
-
8.89Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
-
10.15Tufts University0.890.0%1st Place
-
6.99University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
-
7.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
-
12.06Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
-
9.96Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
-
7.52Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
-
8.72Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maks Groom | 12.4% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 20.2% | 17.6% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jemma Schroder | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.4% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 6.3% |
| Everett Nash | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Matthew Elliott | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Ege Ozgul | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 13.3% |
| Jonathan Riley | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Julia Wyatt | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Renato Korzinek | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 36.6% |
| Niall Sheridan | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 12.4% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.