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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+4.27vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+1.98vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.79+3.98vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.25+4.92vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.89+5.15vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.28+2.91vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.34+4.69vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.65-0.41vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-1.76vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.24-0.89vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.83-4.03vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.47-3.53vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.02-3.05vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-8.01vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.30-6.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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3.98Harvard University2.750.2%1st Place
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6.98Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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8.92Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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10.15Tufts University0.890.0%1st Place
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8.91Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
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11.69Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
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7.59Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
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7.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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9.11Tufts University1.240.0%1st Place
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6.97University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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8.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.470.0%1st Place
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9.95Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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5.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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8.78Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maks Groom | 13.9% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 20.8% | 18.4% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Everett Nash | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 6.5% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 14.9% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% |
| Renato Korzinek | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 33.2% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Julia Wyatt | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Ege Ozgul | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% |
| Jonathan Riley | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Jemma Schroder | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% |
| Niall Sheridan | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 11.9% |
| Matthew Elliott | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.