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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.91+3.25vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.28+3.73vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.93+1.19vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.41+1.60vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.16+1.45vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.48+2.35vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.62+0.62vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.84-0.79vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.04-2.31vs Predicted
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10Amherst College0.92-0.05vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.39+0.15vs Predicted
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12Bates College0.09-0.25vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.18-1.53vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.74-9.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25Tufts University2.910.2%1st Place
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5.73Boston University2.280.1%1st Place
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4.19Connecticut College2.930.2%1st Place
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5.6Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
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6.45Boston College2.160.1%1st Place
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8.35Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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7.62Bowdoin College1.620.0%1st Place
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7.21Boston University1.840.1%1st Place
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6.69University of Vermont2.040.1%1st Place
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9.95Amherst College0.920.0%1st Place
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11.15Maine Maritime Academy0.390.0%1st Place
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11.75Bates College0.090.0%1st Place
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11.47Northeastern University0.180.0%1st Place
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4.6Boston University2.740.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Meleny | 15.6% | 17.4% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Perry | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Gabriel Salk | 17.9% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fiske | 9.2% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Gestal | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Ames Lyman | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 2.1% |
| Benjmain Berg | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Joseph Ballow | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Laura Cuccio | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Nick Belsito | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 9.4% |
| Benjamin King | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 17.0% | 23.2% | 21.2% |
| Alexander Francis | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 20.6% | 34.2% |
| Moussa Diolombi | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 22.0% | 29.2% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 15.3% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.