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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.05+2.85vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.56+1.04vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.17-0.66vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.24-0.88vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.31-1.80vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University-0.74-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85Bowdoin College0.059.2%1st Place
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3.04Boston College1.5619.1%1st Place
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2.34Harvard University2.1734.3%1st Place
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3.12Brown University1.2417.3%1st Place
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3.2Roger Williams University1.3118.3%1st Place
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5.45Northeastern University-0.741.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stevens | 9.2% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 20.7% | 29.8% | 12.1% |
| Nick Budington | 19.1% | 20.3% | 20.6% | 20.0% | 16.8% | 3.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 34.3% | 26.4% | 19.1% | 12.7% | 6.4% | 1.2% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 17.3% | 19.8% | 22.0% | 19.8% | 17.2% | 4.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 18.3% | 17.7% | 19.2% | 20.9% | 18.4% | 5.5% |
| Jack Whitman | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 11.5% | 74.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.