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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.00+6.98vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.72+6.84vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.36+3.69vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.51+2.24vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+0.85vs Predicted
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6Harvard University0.93+2.35vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.42-0.44vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.49-1.63vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.14-1.53vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.27-2.81vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.57-1.37vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21-4.42vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.69-3.55vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College0.57-4.44vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.35-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.98Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
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8.84Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.69Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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6.24Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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5.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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8.35Harvard University0.930.1%1st Place
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6.56University of Rhode Island1.420.1%1st Place
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6.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.490.1%1st Place
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7.47Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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7.19Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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9.63Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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7.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
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9.45Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
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9.56Bowdoin College0.570.0%1st Place
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12.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Broadus | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
| William Wiegand | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 5.9% |
| Nathan Selian | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 11.3% | 13.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Gorham Partington | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 3.8% |
| Tyler Miller | 10.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Garrett Blosen | 10.0% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Lera Anders | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Marina Garrido | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Ben Palmer | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 12.2% |
| Charles Lindsay | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Madeline Simms | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% |
| Preston Anderson | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 9.9% |
| Raymond Huffman | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 14.1% | 42.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.