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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.36+5.72vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+3.56vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.72+5.98vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.49+2.32vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.42+1.72vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.14+1.61vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.27+0.07vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.00+0.08vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.51-2.84vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.69-0.74vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21-3.64vs Predicted
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12Harvard University0.93-3.43vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.57-3.18vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College0.57-4.42vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.35-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.72Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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5.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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8.98Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.490.1%1st Place
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6.72University of Rhode Island1.420.1%1st Place
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7.61Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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7.07Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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8.08Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
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6.16Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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9.26Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
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7.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
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8.57Harvard University0.930.0%1st Place
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9.82Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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9.58Bowdoin College0.570.0%1st Place
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12.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Selian | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 11.6% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| William Wiegand | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 6.8% |
| Garrett Blosen | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Miller | 8.8% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Lera Anders | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Marina Garrido | 9.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Meredith Broadus | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Madeline Simms | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.5% |
| Charles Lindsay | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Gorham Partington | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 4.7% |
| Ben Palmer | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 11.9% |
| Preston Anderson | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 10.3% |
| Raymond Huffman | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 14.6% | 42.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.