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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.27+6.01vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.42+4.42vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+2.61vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.36+2.76vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.49+1.41vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.14+1.58vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.72+2.04vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.51-1.73vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College0.57+0.55vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.57-0.35vs Predicted
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11Harvard University0.93-2.66vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.69-2.55vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.00-4.65vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.35-1.71vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21-7.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.01Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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6.42University of Rhode Island1.420.1%1st Place
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5.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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6.76Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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6.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.490.1%1st Place
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7.58Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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9.04Boston University0.720.1%1st Place
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6.27Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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9.55Bowdoin College0.570.0%1st Place
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9.65Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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8.34Harvard University0.930.1%1st Place
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9.45Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
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8.35Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
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12.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.350.0%1st Place
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7.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Garrido | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| Tyler Miller | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Selian | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Garrett Blosen | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Lera Anders | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| William Wiegand | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 7.4% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Preston Anderson | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.3% |
| Ben Palmer | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 10.9% |
| Gorham Partington | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.2% |
| Madeline Simms | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 8.7% |
| Meredith Broadus | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% |
| Raymond Huffman | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 14.6% | 42.3% |
| Charles Lindsay | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.