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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.36+5.76vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.42+4.42vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.51+3.18vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21+3.30vs Predicted
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5Harvard University0.93+3.38vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.14+1.60vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.49-0.71vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.00+0.10vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-3.34vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.72-0.87vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.27-3.84vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College0.57-2.12vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.57-3.19vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.69-4.85vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.35-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.76Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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6.42University of Rhode Island1.420.1%1st Place
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6.18Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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7.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
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8.38Harvard University0.930.1%1st Place
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7.6Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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6.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.490.1%1st Place
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8.1Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
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5.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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9.13Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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7.16Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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9.88Bowdoin College0.570.0%1st Place
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9.81Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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9.15Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
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12.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Selian | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Tyler Miller | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 9.8% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Charles Lindsay | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Gorham Partington | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 4.0% |
| Lera Anders | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Garrett Blosen | 11.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Meredith Broadus | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.7% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 11.4% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| William Wiegand | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% |
| Marina Garrido | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
| Preston Anderson | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 11.3% |
| Ben Palmer | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 11.6% |
| Madeline Simms | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 7.5% |
| Raymond Huffman | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.