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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.72+7.90vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.57+7.32vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.51+3.16vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.36+2.76vs Predicted
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5Harvard University0.93+3.46vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-0.28vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.42-0.45vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College0.57+1.62vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.49-2.75vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.14-2.33vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.27-3.84vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21-4.44vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.00-4.63vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.35-1.68vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.69-5.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.9Boston University0.720.1%1st Place
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9.32Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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6.16Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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6.76Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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8.46Harvard University0.930.1%1st Place
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5.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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6.55University of Rhode Island1.420.1%1st Place
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9.62Bowdoin College0.570.0%1st Place
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6.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.490.1%1st Place
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7.67Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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7.16Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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7.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
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8.37Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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12.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.350.0%1st Place
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9.18Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Wiegand | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% |
| Ben Palmer | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 9.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Nathan Selian | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Gorham Partington | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 12.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Miller | 10.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Preston Anderson | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 10.9% |
| Garrett Blosen | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Lera Anders | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Marina Garrido | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Charles Lindsay | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% |
| Raymond Huffman | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 43.9% |
| Madeline Simms | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.