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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+4.65vs Predicted
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2Harvard University0.93+6.16vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.27+4.03vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.36+2.78vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.72+4.13vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.57+3.66vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.49-0.64vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.14-0.40vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.51-2.84vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.00-1.81vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.69-1.79vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College0.57-2.13vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.35-0.55vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21-6.77vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.42-8.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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8.16Harvard University0.930.1%1st Place
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7.03Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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6.78Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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9.13Boston University0.720.1%1st Place
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9.66Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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6.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.490.1%1st Place
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7.6Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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6.16Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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8.19Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
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9.21Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
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9.87Bowdoin College0.570.0%1st Place
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12.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.350.0%1st Place
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7.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
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6.53University of Rhode Island1.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Katz-Christy | 12.5% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Gorham Partington | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| Marina Garrido | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Nathan Selian | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| William Wiegand | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 9.6% |
| Garrett Blosen | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Lera Anders | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Meredith Broadus | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
| Madeline Simms | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 8.6% |
| Preston Anderson | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 11.4% |
| Raymond Huffman | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 14.9% | 45.6% |
| Charles Lindsay | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Tyler Miller | 9.3% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.