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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.42+5.53vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.72+6.87vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.14+4.48vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+1.65vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.27+2.22vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College0.57+3.69vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.36-0.21vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.69+1.17vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.49-2.77vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21-2.61vs Predicted
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11Harvard University0.93-2.63vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.51-5.45vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.35-0.55vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.00-5.94vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.57-5.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53University of Rhode Island1.420.1%1st Place
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8.87Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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7.48Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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5.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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7.22Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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9.69Bowdoin College0.570.0%1st Place
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6.79Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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9.17Tufts University0.690.1%1st Place
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6.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.490.1%1st Place
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7.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
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8.37Harvard University0.930.0%1st Place
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6.55Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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12.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.350.0%1st Place
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8.06Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
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9.54Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Miller | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| William Wiegand | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 6.3% |
| Lera Anders | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 12.1% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Marina Garrido | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Preston Anderson | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 10.6% |
| Nathan Selian | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Madeline Simms | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.2% |
| Garrett Blosen | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Charles Lindsay | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Gorham Partington | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Raymond Huffman | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 44.5% |
| Meredith Broadus | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.8% |
| Ben Palmer | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.