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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.57+8.38vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.51+4.11vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.14+4.46vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.49+2.33vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.57+4.67vs Predicted
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6Harvard University0.93+2.38vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21+0.21vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.69+1.19vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.27-1.94vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.42-3.34vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.72-1.88vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.36-4.96vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.00-4.58vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-8.30vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.35-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.38Northeastern University0.570.1%1st Place
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6.11Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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7.46Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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6.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.490.1%1st Place
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9.67Bowdoin College0.570.0%1st Place
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8.38Harvard University0.930.1%1st Place
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7.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
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7.06Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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6.66University of Rhode Island1.420.1%1st Place
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9.12Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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7.04Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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8.42Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
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5.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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12.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Palmer | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 10.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Lera Anders | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| Garrett Blosen | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Preston Anderson | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 10.9% |
| Gorham Partington | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 3.8% |
| Charles Lindsay | 9.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Madeline Simms | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 7.9% |
| Marina Garrido | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Miller | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| William Wiegand | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% |
| Nathan Selian | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Meredith Broadus | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 10.7% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Raymond Huffman | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 14.5% | 43.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.