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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.93+3.19vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.16+4.12vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.04+3.61vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.28+2.02vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.48+3.35vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.62+1.97vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.41-1.66vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.91-3.68vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.84-1.71vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.39+1.15vs Predicted
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11Amherst College0.92-1.13vs Predicted
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12Bates College0.09-0.26vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.18-1.53vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.74-9.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19Connecticut College2.930.2%1st Place
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6.12Boston College2.160.1%1st Place
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6.61University of Vermont2.040.1%1st Place
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6.02Boston University2.280.1%1st Place
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8.35Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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7.97Bowdoin College1.620.0%1st Place
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5.34Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
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4.32Tufts University2.910.2%1st Place
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7.29Boston University1.840.1%1st Place
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11.15Maine Maritime Academy0.390.0%1st Place
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9.87Amherst College0.920.0%1st Place
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11.74Bates College0.090.0%1st Place
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11.47Northeastern University0.180.0%1st Place
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4.58Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Salk | 17.8% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Gestal | 6.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Laura Cuccio | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Paul Perry | 6.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ames Lyman | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
| Benjmain Berg | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Fiske | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Meleny | 17.6% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Ballow | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Benjamin King | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 21.4% | 23.0% |
| Nick Belsito | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 8.0% |
| Alexander Francis | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 15.5% | 20.2% | 33.7% |
| Moussa Diolombi | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 22.5% | 29.3% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 14.3% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.