← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.76+0.52vs Predicted
-
2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02+1.20vs Predicted
-
3Brown University0.37+0.02vs Predicted
-
4University of New Hampshire-1.41+0.98vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University-0.58-1.00vs Predicted
-
6University of Connecticut-0.80-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.52Brown University1.7662.5%1st Place
-
3.2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0211.9%1st Place
-
3.02Brown University0.3713.7%1st Place
-
4.98University of New Hampshire-1.411.9%1st Place
-
4.0Salve Regina University-0.585.2%1st Place
-
4.27University of Connecticut-0.804.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
James Brock | 62.5% | 26.2% | 8.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
William Delong | 11.9% | 21.8% | 25.1% | 21.6% | 14.2% | 5.3% |
Daniel van Heeckeren | 13.7% | 25.0% | 26.9% | 19.2% | 11.1% | 4.2% |
Devyn Weed | 1.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 20.9% | 51.3% |
Emilia Perriera | 5.2% | 11.3% | 18.4% | 24.1% | 24.9% | 16.1% |
Ryan Treat | 4.8% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 20.5% | 28.5% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.