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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.43+0.91vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.79+0.67vs Predicted
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3Cornell University0.69+1.25vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+0.20vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41+1.06vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh0.14-0.87vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University0.28-2.01vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester-1.05-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91Cornell University2.430.5%1st Place
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2.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.790.2%1st Place
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4.25Cornell University0.690.1%1st Place
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4.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.1%1st Place
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6.06Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.0%1st Place
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5.13University of Pittsburgh0.140.1%1st Place
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4.99Syracuse University0.280.0%1st Place
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6.8University of Rochester-1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Moran | 47.3% | 28.4% | 15.0% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Blake Stackpoole | 23.4% | 28.6% | 22.6% | 13.8% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Rizika | 7.7% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 18.4% | 19.0% | 14.4% | 9.1% | 3.3% |
| Patrick Modin | 7.7% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 18.7% | 19.3% | 14.4% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| Lauren Manney | 2.8% | 2.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 27.0% | 24.7% |
| Stanley Galloway | 5.1% | 5.3% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 17.3% | 19.0% | 17.4% | 10.4% |
| Chris Trentham | 4.9% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 20.1% | 16.6% | 8.4% |
| Eric Elias | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 12.1% | 21.1% | 49.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.