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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.43+0.90vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.79+0.66vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+1.17vs Predicted
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4Cornell University0.69+0.30vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University0.28-0.04vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-1.05+0.82vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh0.14-1.76vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9Cornell University2.430.5%1st Place
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2.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.790.2%1st Place
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4.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.1%1st Place
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4.3Cornell University0.690.1%1st Place
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4.96Syracuse University0.280.1%1st Place
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6.82University of Rochester-1.050.0%1st Place
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5.24University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
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5.96Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Moran | 47.5% | 28.6% | 14.1% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Stackpoole | 23.8% | 27.6% | 23.4% | 14.0% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Modin | 8.2% | 12.2% | 16.8% | 19.9% | 17.7% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 2.7% |
| Ben Rizika | 7.7% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 19.4% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 9.9% | 3.4% |
| Chris Trentham | 5.2% | 6.6% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 19.2% | 18.0% | 16.8% | 7.6% |
| Eric Elias | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 18.6% | 51.4% |
| Stanley Galloway | 4.5% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 19.3% | 18.2% | 13.0% |
| Lauren Manney | 1.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 13.3% | 18.1% | 26.8% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.