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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.43+0.93vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.79+0.67vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.28+1.92vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+0.18vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh0.14+0.18vs Predicted
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6Cornell University0.69-1.74vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester-1.05-0.10vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.93Cornell University2.430.5%1st Place
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2.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.790.2%1st Place
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4.92Syracuse University0.280.1%1st Place
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4.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.1%1st Place
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5.18University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
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4.26Cornell University0.690.1%1st Place
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6.9University of Rochester-1.050.0%1st Place
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5.96Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Moran | 47.2% | 27.0% | 16.1% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Stackpoole | 23.4% | 29.5% | 20.4% | 15.3% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Chris Trentham | 5.8% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 20.4% | 16.1% | 7.8% |
| Patrick Modin | 7.7% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 19.9% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 9.4% | 2.1% |
| Stanley Galloway | 4.9% | 5.3% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 17.9% | 19.7% | 18.8% | 9.8% |
| Ben Rizika | 7.8% | 10.1% | 19.3% | 17.0% | 19.0% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 3.1% |
| Eric Elias | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 18.3% | 55.6% |
| Lauren Manney | 1.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 14.6% | 18.5% | 26.0% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.