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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.43+0.92vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.79+0.67vs Predicted
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3Cornell University0.69+1.31vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh0.14+1.20vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University0.28-0.05vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41-0.03vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester-1.05-0.15vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92Cornell University2.430.5%1st Place
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2.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.790.2%1st Place
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4.31Cornell University0.690.1%1st Place
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5.2University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
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4.95Syracuse University0.280.0%1st Place
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5.97Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.0%1st Place
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6.85University of Rochester-1.050.0%1st Place
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4.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Moran | 47.1% | 29.1% | 13.3% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Blake Stackpoole | 23.5% | 29.2% | 20.6% | 14.6% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ben Rizika | 7.6% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 16.3% | 18.9% | 16.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% |
| Stanley Galloway | 4.6% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 16.9% | 21.1% | 18.9% | 10.1% |
| Chris Trentham | 4.8% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 16.0% | 17.5% | 19.2% | 17.9% | 6.3% |
| Lauren Manney | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 24.2% | 25.1% |
| Eric Elias | 1.5% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 21.4% | 52.0% |
| Patrick Modin | 7.6% | 11.6% | 19.6% | 21.1% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 7.7% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.