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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.43+0.92vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+2.19vs Predicted
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3Cornell University0.69+1.29vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University0.28+0.98vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.79-2.35vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41-0.04vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh0.14-1.81vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester-1.05-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92Cornell University2.430.5%1st Place
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4.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.1%1st Place
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4.29Cornell University0.690.1%1st Place
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4.98Syracuse University0.280.1%1st Place
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2.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.790.2%1st Place
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5.96Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.0%1st Place
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5.19University of Pittsburgh0.140.1%1st Place
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6.83University of Rochester-1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Moran | 46.7% | 29.3% | 14.1% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Modin | 8.9% | 10.7% | 16.2% | 20.1% | 19.0% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 2.7% |
| Ben Rizika | 6.9% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 19.4% | 17.2% | 16.5% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
| Chris Trentham | 5.1% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 21.2% | 16.6% | 7.7% |
| Blake Stackpoole | 23.5% | 28.0% | 23.9% | 13.3% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Manney | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 24.3% | 24.6% |
| Stanley Galloway | 5.2% | 5.5% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 17.5% | 19.1% | 18.4% | 11.3% |
| Eric Elias | 0.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 22.8% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.