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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University0.69+3.21vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.43-0.06vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+1.17vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41+2.06vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.79-2.33vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh0.14-0.86vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University0.28-2.01vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester-1.05-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21Cornell University0.690.1%1st Place
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1.94Cornell University2.430.5%1st Place
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4.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.1%1st Place
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6.06Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.0%1st Place
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2.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.790.2%1st Place
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5.14University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
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4.99Syracuse University0.280.1%1st Place
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6.82University of Rochester-1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Rizika | 8.0% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 18.8% | 18.5% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 2.5% |
| Meredith Moran | 46.2% | 27.7% | 15.5% | 7.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Modin | 8.5% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 20.4% | 18.4% | 14.2% | 7.5% | 3.3% |
| Lauren Manney | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 17.4% | 24.9% | 26.3% |
| Blake Stackpoole | 24.0% | 28.1% | 22.4% | 13.7% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 4.6% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 17.5% | 21.8% | 15.7% | 10.7% |
| Chris Trentham | 5.1% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 18.0% | 18.3% | 18.5% | 7.7% |
| Eric Elias | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 22.5% | 49.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.