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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.43+0.91vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.79+0.68vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester-1.05+3.79vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University0.28+0.97vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41+1.04vs Predicted
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6Cornell University0.69-1.71vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh0.14-1.76vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91Cornell University2.430.5%1st Place
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2.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.790.2%1st Place
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6.79University of Rochester-1.050.0%1st Place
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4.97Syracuse University0.280.1%1st Place
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6.04Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.0%1st Place
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4.29Cornell University0.690.1%1st Place
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5.24University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
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4.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Moran | 46.3% | 29.4% | 15.2% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Blake Stackpoole | 24.3% | 27.3% | 21.5% | 14.5% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Eric Elias | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 18.8% | 51.5% |
| Chris Trentham | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 18.1% | 8.0% |
| Lauren Manney | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 17.6% | 27.1% | 23.5% |
| Ben Rizika | 7.7% | 10.1% | 18.1% | 17.3% | 19.1% | 15.2% | 9.1% | 3.4% |
| Stanley Galloway | 4.7% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 20.1% | 18.1% | 11.8% |
| Patrick Modin | 7.4% | 13.3% | 17.9% | 21.7% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 7.7% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.