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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.43+0.91vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University0.28+2.96vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+1.18vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.79-1.35vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh0.14+0.18vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41-0.01vs Predicted
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7Cornell University0.69-2.69vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester-1.05-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91Cornell University2.430.5%1st Place
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4.96Syracuse University0.280.1%1st Place
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4.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.1%1st Place
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2.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.790.2%1st Place
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5.18University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
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5.99Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.0%1st Place
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4.31Cornell University0.690.1%1st Place
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6.82University of Rochester-1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Moran | 46.7% | 28.8% | 15.6% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chris Trentham | 5.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 19.7% | 18.6% | 15.3% | 8.5% |
| Patrick Modin | 8.4% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 17.1% | 18.6% | 15.9% | 7.8% | 2.8% |
| Blake Stackpoole | 23.5% | 27.8% | 24.2% | 14.1% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Stanley Galloway | 4.7% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 20.4% | 19.3% | 9.7% |
| Lauren Manney | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 25.2% | 24.7% |
| Ben Rizika | 8.1% | 10.3% | 16.0% | 19.5% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 9.6% | 3.8% |
| Eric Elias | 0.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 21.8% | 50.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.